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Three moves. Everything else is a combination of them. You are never locked in. The middle diamond is available to you at any moment until the deadline.
Trading a continuous market works exactly the same way, applied to the current round instead of a deadline: back Up or Down, or sell out early, any time before that round closes.

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Backing an outcome

You think something will happen, so you buy it. Yes is trading at 40 cents. You put in $40 and receive about 100 shares.
  • It happens. Every share pays $1. You receive $100.
  • You take profit first. Sell at whatever the price is then.
Your position is straightforward. What you put in is what is at stake, always. There is no borrowing, no margin, and no way for a position to cost you more than you committed to it.

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Betting against an outcome

You think something will not happen. In a market with two outcomes that is simple. Betting against Yes means buying No. With three or four outcomes, Numera handles it in one step. Choose “against A” and it assembles a position across B, C and D for you. Since exactly one outcome must win, that position pays out whenever A does not. You see one price and make one choice. The assembly happens underneath.

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Taking profit early

Sell any part of your position, any time before the deadline. Bought at 30 cents and it is now 70? Sell and bank the gain. Want to lock in some upside but stay in the market? Sell half. There is no penalty for closing early, no minimum holding period, and no waiting for the event to finish.
This is the real advantage over a traditional betting pool, where your stake is committed the moment you place it. On Numera your position has a live value you can act on at any time.

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What you see before confirming

1

The current price

What one share costs right now, refreshed live.
2

What you receive

How many shares your money buys, and what they pay if you are right.
3

Your total

Everything included, spread and fee. No network fee, because there is not one.
4

Approve it

A face or fingerprint check if you signed in with a passkey, or a tap in your wallet if you signed in with one. Done.

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Good to know

Price moves as you buy, so a large order fills across a range rather than all at the opening quote. That is how the market stays balanced.Numera calculates your real total in advance and shows it before you confirm, so the number you approve is the number you pay. In busy markets the difference is small. In newer ones it is more noticeable, and the preview tells you either way.
You approve a specific price. If the market moves between your approval and the trade landing, Numera will not fill you at a worse one. The trade simply does not go through, and nothing is charged. Refresh and you will see the current price.It is a guardrail. You always get the deal you agreed to, or no deal.
There is a small minimum on new trades, since Numera covers the blockchain cost of each one.Closing a position is always available regardless of size, so you can exit any position at any time.
Positions are not transferable between accounts. Keeping them in place is part of what keeps them private. See privacy. To move value, sell and buy again.