The idea in one paragraph
A prediction market turns opinions into a price. When a market says an outcome is trading at 62 cents, the crowd thinks it’s about 62% likely. That number is valuable precisely because it’s public — markets built this way have a strong record of forecasting better than polls or experts. What doesn’t need to be public is you. Numera keeps the open, readable market and gives you the privacy to trade your view freely.How it works
The whole thing, start to finish, in plain language.
Why you stay private
The three things that make it work.
What you can do
Trade either direction
Trade either direction
Back an outcome, or bet against it — both in a single step. You never need to find someone to take the other side. Numera always quotes you a live price, on any outcome, at any hour.
Take your money out whenever you like
Take your money out whenever you like
Your position is always worth something you can act on. Sell part or all of it any time before the deadline, at the current price. Bought at 30 cents and it’s now 70? Take the profit today rather than waiting for the result.Most betting products hold your money until the event ends. Numera doesn’t.
Never think about network fees
Never think about network fees
No separate token to buy, no balance to top up, nothing to run out of mid-trade. Numera covers the blockchain’s transaction costs for you.It’s also part of what keeps you private — here’s how.
Claim winnings directly
Claim winnings directly
When a market settles, every winning share is worth exactly $1. You claim it yourself, straight from the blockchain, whenever you want. No withdrawal request, no queue, no approval step.
Three guarantees
Your payout is always covered. Every market holds more than enough to pay every possible result, at every moment. It comes directly from how prices are calculated, and it’s verified after every single trade. How that works. You stay private. Your trades aren’t attributable to you, and the connection between you and your positions is never created in the first place. What that means. The rules are fixed. A market’s question, outcomes, deadline and fee cap are locked when it’s created. There’s no mechanism to change them afterwards.A quick example
A market asks: Will it rain in Chennai tomorrow? Two outcomes, Yes and No.1
You check the price
Yes is trading at 40 cents — the market puts it at roughly 40%.
2
You have a different view
You’ve seen the forecast. You put in $40 and receive about 100 Yes shares.
3
The odds move your way
Others come to the same conclusion and buy. Yes rises to 65 cents, and your shares are now worth about $65.
4
You choose your moment
Sell now and take roughly $25 — or hold. If it rains, every share pays exactly $1, for $100.
Where things stand
Numera is live on Monad testnet, running the complete system with practice funds — so you can try everything end to end before real money is involved.Testnet tokens are for practice and carry no monetary value. Nothing here is financial advice, and availability depends on where you live.