The one difference that matters
Every prediction market publishes its prices. That is the point of one. Numera publishes everything a market needs and nothing it does not.
On an ordinary on chain market your address sits beside every trade you make, permanently. One lookup shows a stranger what you hold, how much, and when you moved.
The forecast never needed that part.
Always a market live
Open Numera and a market is already running, on a real asset like Bitcoin or Ethereum. The moment one round settles, the next one opens, so there is never a wait for the next chance to trade. Prefer a specific question with a deadline instead? Numera has always supported that too, side by side with the continuous markets. See how continuous markets work.What privacy buys you
Your research stays yours
The work behind a view is worth something. Keep the benefit instead of publishing your conclusions the moment you act on them.
Change your mind quietly
Adjust or close because you learned something, not because of how it reads to everyone watching.
Size it properly
Back your conviction at the level you actually believe in, without that number becoming public.
A view stays a view
What you traded once does not follow you around afterwards.
How a trade works
A market with two outcomes, Yes and No. Yes is trading at 40 cents, so the crowd puts it at roughly 40%. Every winning share is worth exactly one dollar. That is what makes a price a probability: 40 cents to win a dollar is the market saying 40%. The price was public the whole time. You were not.What you can do
Trade either direction
Trade either direction
Back an outcome, or bet against it, both in a single step. You never need to find someone to take the other side. Numera always quotes you a live price, on any outcome, at any hour.
Take your money out whenever you like
Take your money out whenever you like
Your position is always worth something you can act on. Sell part or all of it any time before the deadline, at the current price. Bought at 30 cents and it is now 70? Take the profit today rather than waiting for the result.Most betting products hold your money until the event ends. Numera does not.
Never think about network fees
Never think about network fees
No separate token to buy, no balance to top up, nothing to run out of partway through a trade. Numera covers the blockchain costs for you.It is also part of what keeps you private. Here is how.
Earn by settling markets
Earn by settling markets
When a market closes, anyone can propose the result and earn a share of what that market made. Anyone can challenge a result they think is wrong, and being right pays. It happens from the same private account as your trades. How settlement works.
Claim winnings directly
Claim winnings directly
When a market settles, every winning share is worth exactly $1. You claim it yourself, straight from the blockchain, whenever you want. No withdrawal request, no queue, no approval step.
Sign in your way
Sign in your way
Use a passkey, which is the face or fingerprint check your phone already has, or connect a wallet you already own such as MetaMask or Rabby. Both are first class routes in, and both lead to the same place. How signing in works.
Three guarantees
Your payout is covered
Every market holds more than enough to pay every possible result, at every moment. Checked after every single trade.
You stay private
The connection between you and your positions is never created in the first place, so there is nothing to leak.
The rules are fixed
Question, outcomes, deadline, fee ceiling and settlement rule are locked at creation. No edit function exists.
Our vision
A public market only works if people are willing to act on what they actually believe, at the size they actually believe it. Putting a name next to every trade gets in the way of that. Our vision is a privacy layer that any public market can build on, so traders everywhere can back a view honestly without broadcasting it to the world. Numera is the first market built this way.Start here
How it works
The whole thing, start to finish, in plain language.
Why you stay private
The three mechanisms, and how to get the most from them.
Continuous markets
A market that never stops, on the asset you’re watching.
Nothing here is financial advice, and availability depends on where you live.